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Matthew Ferrari
Address
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University Park, PA 16802
Phone
Self Summary
Population/Community Ecology, Epidemiology, Statistical, Computational and Mathematical Biology
Graduate Students
Study Systems
Measles
The beetle-borne bacterial wilt Erwinia tracheiphila in the wild gourd Cucurbita pepo.
Publications
Ozawa S, Clark S, Prtnoy A, Grewal S, Stack ML, Sinha A, Mirelman A, Franklin H, Friberg IK, Tam Y, Walker N, Clark A, Ferrari M, Suratdecha C, Sweet S, Goldie SJ, Garske T, Li M, Hansen P, Johnson HL, Walker D. 2017. Estimated economic impact of vaccinations in 73 low- and middle-income countries, 2001-2020. Bulletin of the World Health Organization
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler JT. 2017. The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region. Nature Communications 8: doi:10.1038/ncomms15585
Li S, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Mummah R ,Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Probert WJM, and Shea K. 2017. Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences doi:10.1073/pnas.1617482114
Li S, Ma C, Hao L, Su Q, An Z, Ma F, Xie S, Xu A, Zhang Y, Ding Z, Li H, Cairns L, Wang H, Luo H, Wang N, Li L, Ferrari MJ. 2017. Demographic transition and the dynamics of measles in six provinces in China: A modeling study. PLoS Medicine http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002255
Prada JM, Metcalf CJE, Takahashi S, Lessler J, Tatem AJ. Ferrari MJ. 2017. Demographics, epidemiology and the impact of vaccination campaigns in a measles-free world – Can elimination be maintained? Vaccine. (in press)
Bradbury NV, Probert WJM, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. 2017. Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005318
Webb C, Ferrari MJ, Lindstrom T, Carpenter T, Durr T, Garner G, Jewell C, Stevenson M, Ward M, Werkman M, Backer J, Tildesley MJ. 2017. Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support emergency disease management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2017.01.003
McKee A, Shea K, Ferrari MJ. 2017. Optimal vaccine schedules to maintain measles elimination with a two-dose routine policy. Epidemiology and Infection 145(1): 227.
Bhattacharyya S, and Ferrari MJ. 2016. Age-specific mixing generates transient outbreak risk following critical-level vaccination. Epidemiology and Infection 145 (1): 12-22.
Bharti N, Djibo A, Tatem, AJ, Grenfell BT, Ferrari MJ. 2016. Measuring populations to improve vaccination coverage. Scientific Reports 6:34541|DOI:10.1038/srep3454
Harth, JE, Winsor JA, Weakland DR, Nowack KJ, Ferrari MJ, Stephenson AG. 2016. Effects of virus infection on pollen production and pollen performance: Implications for the spread of resistance alleles. American Journal of Botany 10.3732/ajb.1500165.
Probert WJM, K Shea, CJ Fonnesbeck, MC Runge, TE Carpenter, S Durr, MG Garner, N Harvey, MA Stevenson, CT Webb, M Werkman, MJ Tildesley, MJ Ferrari. 2015. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter. Epidemics 15: 10-19.
Takahashi, S., Metcalf, C.J.E., Ferrari, M.J., Moss, W.J., Truelove, S.A., Tatem, A.J., Grenfeel, B.T., Lessler, J. 2015. Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infectious post-Ebola. Science 347(6227):1240-1242.
McKee, A., Ferrari, M.J., Shea, K. 2015. The effects of maternal immunity and age distribution on population immunity to measles. Theoretical Ecology 10.1007/s12080-014-0250-9.
Drake, J.M., Kaul, R.B., Alexander, L.W., O'Reagan, S.M., Kramer, A.M., Pulliam, J.T., Ferrari, M.J., Park, A.W. 2015. Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia. PLoS Biology DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1002056.
Jongejans, E., Skarpaas, O., Ferrari, M.J., Long, E.S., Dauer, J.T. Schwarz, C.M., Rauschert, E.S.J., Jabbout, R., Mortensen, D.A., Isard, S.A., Lieb, D.A. ,Sezen, Z., Hultin, A.G., Shea, K. 2014. A Unifying gravity framework for dispersal. Theoretical Ecology. 8(2). DOI: 10.1007/s12080-014-0245-5.
Simmons, H.E., Prendeville, H.R., Dunham, J.P., Ferrari, M.J., Earnest, J.D., Munkvold, G.P., Holmes, E.C., Stephenson, A.G. 2014. Transgenic virus-resistance in crop-wild Cucurbita pepo does not prevent vertical transmission of zucchini yellow mosaic virus. Plant Disease, DOI
Lofgren, E., Halloran, M.E., Rivers, C.M., Drake, J.M., Porco, T.C., Lewis, B., Yang, W., Vespignani, A., Shaman, J., Eisenberg, J.N.S., Eisenberg, M.C., Marathe, M., Scarpino, S.V., Alexander, K.A., Meza, R., Ferrari, M.J., Human, J.M., Meyers, L.A. Eubank, S. 2014. Opinion: Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Halloran, M.E., Vespignani, A., Bharti, N., Feldstein, L.R., Alexander, K.A., Ferrari, M.J., Shaman, J., Drake, J.M., Porco, T., Eisenberg, J.N.S., Del Valle, S.Y., Lofgren, E., Scarpino, S.V., Eisenberg, M.C., Gao, D., Hyman, J.M., Eubank, S., Longini, R.M. Ebola: Mobility data. Science 346(6208):433.
Shea, K., Tildesley, M.J., Runge, M.C., Fonnesbeck, C.J., Ferrari, M.J. 2014. Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology. PLOS Biology, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1001970.
Ferrari, M.J., Fermon, F., Nackers, F., Llosa, A., Magone, C., Grais, R.F. 2014. Time is (still) of the essence: quantifying the impact5 of emergency meningitis vaccination response in Katsina State, Nigeria. International Health. DOI:10.1093/inthealth/ihu062.
Minetti, A., Hurtado, N., Grais, R.F., Ferrari, M.J. 2013. Reaching the hard-to-reach: nonselective versus targeted outbreak response vaccination for measles. American Journal of Epidemiology. DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwt236.
Ferrari, MJ, Grenfell BT, Strebel PM. 2013. Think globally, act locally: the role of local demographics and vaccination coverage in the dynamic response of measles infection to control. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London
Simons, E., Ferrari M.J., Fricks J., Wannamuehler K, Anand A, Burton A, Strebel P. 2012. Assessment of the 2010 global measles mortality reduction goal: results from a model of surveillance data. The Lancet S0140-6736(12)60522-4
Bharti, N., Tatem, A.j., Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Djibo, A., Grenfell B.T. 2011. Explaining seasonal fluctuations of measles in Niger using nighttime lights imagery. Science 334:1424-1427.
Chen, S., Fricks, J., Ferrari, M.J. Tracking measles infection through non-linear state space models. Journal of the Royal Society of Statistics, C.
Bharti, N., Djibo, A., Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Tatem, A.J., McCabe, C.A., Bjornstad, O.N., Grenfell, B.T. 2010. Measles hotspots and epidemiological connectivity. Epidemiology and Infection 138(9): 1308-1316.
Sasu, M, Ferrari, M.J., Du, D., Winsor, J.A., Stephenson, A.G. 2009. Indirect costs of a non-target pathogen mitigate the direct benefits of a virus resistant transgene in wild Cucurbita. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 106: 19067-19071
Ferrari, M.J., Grais, R.F., Bharti, N., Conlan, A.J.K., Bornstad, O.N., Wolfson, L.J., Guerin, P.J., Djibo, A., Grenfell, B.T. The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature 451:679-685.